20th National Congress of the People's Party (Spain)

The 20th National Congress of the People's Party is scheduled to be held at some point during the summer of 2022.[1]

20th National Congress of the PP
Summer 2022[1]
Opinion polls
 
Candidate Pablo Casado
Party PP
Incumbent President

Pablo Casado

The congress will be held amidst a climate of internal dispute within the party following Madrilenian election Isabel Díaz Ayuso's landslide victory in the 4 May 2021 regional election, as she came to be seen by a party sector as a better candidate than Pablo Casado to face off Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez in the next general election.[2][3] The conflict came to a head from September 2021 onwards when both sides clashed for the control of the party's regional branch in the Community of Madrid, with Ayuso's possible rise to the presidency of the regional PP being seen by Casado's supporters as an immediate threat to his national leadership.[4][5] While Ayuso has denied that it is in her interest to dispute Casado's post ahead of the next general election, the internal crisis has unveiled Casado's fears that an electoral defeat in the next general election may result in a leadership challenge that the more popular Ayuso could capitalize on if she was let to control the regional PP branch in Madrid, one of the most powerful within the party.[6][7][8]

Overview

The congress of the PP is the party's supreme body, and can be of either ordinary or extraordinary nature, depending on whether it is held following the natural end of its term or due to any other exceptional circumstances not linked to this event. Ordinary congresses are to be held every four years and called at least two months in advance of their celebration, though this timetable can be altered for up to twelve months in the event of coincidence with electoral processes. Extraordinary congresses have to be called by a two-thirds majority of the Board of Directors at least one-and-a-half month in advance of their celebration, though in cases of "exceptional urgency" this deadline can be reduced to thirty days.

The president of the PP is the party's head and the person holding the party's political and legal representation, and presides over its Board of Directors and Executive Committee, which are the party's maximum directive, governing and administration bodies between congresses.[9]

Electoral system

The election of the PP president is based on a two-round system. Any party member with at least one-year membership is eligible for the post of party president, on the condition that they are up to date with the payment of party fees and that they are able to secure the signed endorsements of at least 100 party members. The election is to be held in the party's 60 constituencies, corresponding to each province and island of Spain.

In the first round, all registered party members who have their payment fees up to date are allowed to vote for any of the candidates who have been officially proclaimed by virtue of securing the required amount of signatures to run. In the event that no candidate wins the first round outright—which requires securing at least 50 percent of the national vote, being the most voted candidate in at least half of the constituencies and at least a 15-percentage point advantage over the runner-up—a second round will be held concurrently with the party congress, in which party delegates will elect the new party leader from among the two candidates who have previously received the most votes in the first round. Most of the delegates are to be elected by party members concurrently with the first round of voting to the party leadership.[9]

Candidates

Declared
Candidate Age Notable positions
Pablo Casado		 40 President of the PP (since 2018)
Leader of the Opposition of Spain (since 2018)
Deputy in the Cortes Generales for Ávila and Madrid (since 2011)
Vice Secretary-General of Communication of the PP (2015–2018)
President of NNGG in the Community of Madrid (2005–2013)
Deputy in the Assembly of Madrid (2007–2009)

Potential

The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have so far publicly denied or recanted interest in running:

Opinion polls

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the candidate's colour. In the instance of a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded. Polls show data gathered among PP voters/supporters as well as Spanish voters as a whole, but not among party members, who are the ones ultimately entitled to vote in the primary election.

PP voters

Spanish voters

Notes
  1. Right-wing voters.

References
Opinion poll sources
  1. "ElectoPanel (11O): Ayuso, preferida al frente del PP antes que Casado". Electomanía (in Spanish). 11 October 2021.
  2. "Los votantes del PP apoyan a Casado y no quieren a Rivera en el partido". La Razón (in Spanish). 26 July 2021.
Other
  1. "Casado quiere llegar al congreso nacional del PP de 2022 sin oposición territorial". ABC (in Spanish). 5 January 2021. Retrieved 5 November 2021.
  2. Mateo, Juan José (4 May 2021). "Díaz Ayuso, de candidata desconocida a referente de la derecha". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 4 November 2021.
  3. Riveiro, Aitor (13 September 2021). "El ala dura de Aguirre y Álvarez de Toledo se alinea con Ayuso frente a Casado". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 November 2021.
  4. Caballero, Fátima (1 September 2021). "Ayuso inaugura el curso con otra batalla de poder: la presidencia del PP de Madrid". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 November 2021.
  5. Riveiro, Aitor; Caballero, Fátima (3 November 2021). "Guerra total entre Casado y Ayuso por el control del PP de Madrid". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 November 2021.
  6. Campmany, Emilio (2 November 2021). "Lo que teme Casado". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 November 2021.
  7. Riveiro, Aitor; Caballero, Fátima (6 November 2021). "Casado y Ayuso: auge y declive de una amistad rota por el control del PP de Madrid". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 November 2021.
  8. Fumanal, Verónica (8 November 2021). "La guerra civil del PP". El Periódico de España (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 November 2021.
  9. "Estatutos del Partido Popular, aprobados por el 18 Congreso" (PDF). PP (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 November 2021.
  10. "Ayuso no se ve "más de ocho años" en la Comunidad y niega de nuevo que le vaya a disputar el liderazgo nacional a Casado" (in Spanish). Madrid: Europa Press. 10 October 2021. Retrieved 5 November 2021.
  11. Vallés, Vicente (7 November 2021). "Amigos o tiburones en el PP". El Confidencial (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 November 2021.
  12. "Feijóo, "fondo de armario" del PP, mantiene apagado el debate sucesorio mientras promete a ayudar a Casado" (in Spanish). Santiago de Compostela: Europa Press. 17 July 2021. Retrieved 5 November 2021.
  13. "¿A qué líder político prefiere entre Pablo Casado o Isabel Díaz Ayuso?". SW Demoscopia (in Spanish). 28 November 2021.
  14. "SW Demoscopia: El PP vuelve a bajar y el PSOE consigue ya una ventaja de 3 puntos". El Electoral (in Spanish). 28 November 2021.
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