2020 United States Senate election in South Dakota
The 2020 United States Senate election in South Dakota was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Dakota, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Rounds was reelected to a second term in office, overperforming Donald Trump in the concurrent presidential election by 4.93 points.
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 County results Rounds: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% Ahlers: 50–60% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in South Dakota |
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Republican primary
Nominee
- Mike Rounds, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
Eliminated in primary
- Scyller Borglum, state representative[2]
Results
Results by county:
Rounds—80–90%
Rounds—70–80%
Rounds—60–70%
Rounds—50–60%
Borglum—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Rounds (incumbent) | 70,365 | 75.23% | |
| Republican | Scyller Borglum | 23,164 | 24.77% | |
| Total votes | 93,529 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Daniel Ahlers, former state representative and former state senator[4]
Did not qualify
- Clara Hart, board member of the Sioux Falls Arts Council[5]
Declined
- Erin Healy, state representative[6]
- Brendan Johnson, former United States Attorney for the District of South Dakota[7]
- Billie Sutton, former minority leader of the South Dakota Senate and nominee for Governor of South Dakota in 2018[8]
- Susan Wismer, state senator and Democratic nominee for Governor of South Dakota in 2014[6]
Independents
Withdrew
- Clayton Walker, independent candidate in the 2014 United States Senate election in South Dakota and Democratic candidate in the 2010 South Dakota House of Representatives elections[9]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Safe R | October 29, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[11] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[13] | Safe R | October 30, 2020 |
| Politico[14] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[15] | Safe R | October 23, 2020 |
| DDHQ[16] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| 538[17] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Economist[18] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Mike Rounds (R) |
Dan Ahlers (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nielson Brothers Polling | October 24–28, 2020 | 479 (LV) | ± 4.48% | 56% | 39% | 5% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Rounds (incumbent) | 276,232 | 65.74% | +15.37% | |
| Democratic | Daniel Ahlers | 143,987 | 34.26% | +4.75% | |
| Total votes | 420,219 | 100.00% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- Rounds, Johnson gearing up for 2020
- Kaczke, Lisa (July 1, 2019). "Scyller Borglum, Republican legislator from Rapid City, announces U.S. Senate candidacy". Argus Leader. Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- "2020PrimaryStateCanvassReportandCertificate.pdf" (PDF). South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved August 27, 2020.
- Inc, Midwest Communications. "Democrat Ahlers to challenge for Senate seat". KELO Newstalk 1320 107.9. Retrieved September 26, 2019.
- Kaczke, Lisa (November 9, 2019). "Clara Hart of Sioux Falls announces Democratic candidacy for U.S. Senate". Argus Leader. Retrieved December 6, 2019.
- Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
- Levinson, Alexis (March 18, 2015). "Potential Thune Challenger Bows Out". Roll Call. Retrieved October 11, 2018.
It’s certainly something that I would consider in the future,
- KSFY. "Billie Sutton still plans to serve South Dakota in some capacity". www.ksfy.com. Retrieved September 3, 2019.
- "SOUTH DAKOTA". Politics1. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
- "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
- "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
- "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
- Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
- "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- "General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota. November 10, 2020. Retrieved November 12, 2020.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "South Dakota", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "South Dakota: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of South Dakota". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- South Dakota at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites
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