2024 Indonesian general election

General elections are scheduled to be held in Indonesia no longer than April 2024[1][2][3][4] to elect the President, Vice President, People's Consultative Assembly (MPR), and members of local legislative bodies.[5]

2024 Indonesian general election
By April 2024
Presidential election
Incumbent President

Joko Widodo
PDI-P
Legislative election
PartyLeader Current seats
(DPR: 575, DPD: 136)
PDI-P Megawati Sukarnoputri 128
Golkar Airlangga Hartarto 85
Gerindra Prabowo Subianto 78
Nasdem Surya Paloh 59
PKB Muhaimin Iskandar 58
Demokrat Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 54
PKS Ahmad Syaikhu 50
PAN Zulkifli Hasan 44
PPP Suharso Monoarfa 19

Electoral system

Presidential

In order to run as a presidential candidate, a candidate must be backed by a political party or a coalition thereof which compose either 20 percent of seats in the People's Representative Council (DPR) or 25 percent of popular votes in the prior election, i.e. in the 2019 election.[6]

Legislative

According to the 2017 electoral law, the People's Representative Council will have a parliamentary threshold of 4 percent.[7] An electoral law making the threshold 5% is underway.[8]

Opinion polls

Legislatives polls
Main article: Opinion polling for the 2024 Indonesian legislative election
Date Polling firm Sample size Margin of Error PDIP Gerindra Golkar PKB NasDem PKS Demokrat PAN PPP PSI Hanura Ummat Others Lead
1 - 7 December 2021 CISA[9] 1,200 2.85% 24.92% 10.5% 13.09% 10.25% 5.75% 6.5% 18.83% 3.66% 2.92% - - - 3.58% 6.09%
21 - 30 November 2021 Polmatrix[10] 2,000 15.8% 11.0% 4.7% 9.4% 5.0% 5.7% 9.0% 1.2% 2.5% 5.2% 0.4% 1.5% 3.5% 4.8%
19 - 27 November 2021 Indopol[11] 1,230 2.8% 15.04% 13.01% 6.34% 3.98% 2.11% 1.95% 5.77% 1.95% 1.30% 0.41% 0.00% - 1.87% 2.03%
11 - 20 November 2021 New Indonesia
Research & Consulting[12]		 1,200 2.89% 16.4% 9.6% 4.9% 7.7% 9.3% 4.5% 7.3% 1.1% 2.2% 5.4% 0.6% 1.5% 3.7% 6.8%
1 - 7 November 2021 Y-Publica[13] 1,200 2.89% 17.8% 13.0% 8.3% 6.0% 4.0% 5.0% 10.4% 1.2% 2.2% 5.4% 0.8% 1.5% 4.2% 4.8%
5 - 15 October 2021 CPCS[14] 1,200 2.9% 17.4% 13.3% 8.5% 5.7% 3.9% 4.8% 10.6% 1.3% 2.5% 5.0% 0.7% 1.7% 4.0% 4.1%
26 September - 9 October 2021 Litbang Kompas[15] 1,200 2.8% 19.1% 8.8% 7.3% 3.9% 2.0% 6.7% 5.4% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% - 1.9% 10.3%
24 September - 8 October 2021 LSI[16] 2,178 13.10% 12.6% 12.8% 5.8% 6.3% 5.4% 6.3% - - - - - - 0.3%
21 - 30 September 2021 IndEX[17] 1,200 2.9% 17.8% 13.9% 8.7% 5.8% 3.8% 5.0% 10.6% 1.3% 2.3% 5.2% 0.8% 1.5% 3.7% 3.9%
15 - 21 September 2021 SMRC[18] 1,220 3.05% 22.1% 9.9% 11.3% 10.0% 4.2% 6.0% 8.6% 1.4% 2.3% - - - - 10.8%
24 August - 3 September 2021 Arus Survei
Indonesia[19]		 1,200 18.4% 11.1% 10.5% 7.9% 8.5% 5.9% 8.2% 6.1 2.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 5.6% 7.3%
27 - 31 August 2021 CISA[20] 1,200 2.85% 24.58% 7.25% 14.25% 10.67% 5.33% 9.33% 18.75% 3.75% 2.92% - - - 3.17% 5.83%
10 - 20 August 2021 Vox Populi
Research Center[21]		 1,200 2.9% 15.8% 13.5% 8.8% 6.1% 3.7% 4.9% 11.2% 1.3% 2.0% 5.0% 0.7% 1.5% 3.6% 2.3%
2 - 10 August 2021 Indonesia Political
Opinion[22]		 1,200 2.5% 19.5% 12.6% 13.8% 7.5% 7.8% 4.9% 8.7% 5.8% 1.9% 1.8% 0.9% - 5.4% 5.7%
22 - 30 July 2021 New Indonesia
Research & Consulting[23]		 1,200 2.89% 19.8% 10.4% 7.3% 5.7% 3.5% 4.8% 10.1% 1.2% 2.0% 5.3% 0.5% 1.7% 2.5% 9.4%
22 June - 1 July 2021 Voxpol Center[24] 1,200 2.83% 23.0% 27.9% 6.8% 4.9% 2.3% 9.4% 7.8% 0.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.2% 2.1% 4.9%
21-30 May 2021 IndEX[25] 1,200 2.90% 22.3% 12.7% 7.5% 5.2% 3.5% 6.0% 8.3% 1.0% 2.2% 5.1% 0.5% 1.6% 0.6% 9.6%
21 - 28 May 2021 SMRC[26] 1,220 3.05% 19.3% 10.9% 10.7% 9.7% 3.7% 4.6% 6.6% 2.6% 1.8% - - - - 8.4%
22 May 2021 ARSC[27] 1,200 2.90% 19.6% 15.0% 10.4% 5.5% 4.4% 9.1% 15.0% 4.4% 1.5% 2.4% 0.2% - 0.8% 4.6%
13-17 April 2021 Indikator Politik
Indonesia[28]		 1,200 2.90% 25.3% 13.1% 9.2% 7.2% 2.3% 7.2% 8.0% 1.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.3% - 2.1% 12.2%
20-25 March 2021 Polmatrix[29] 2,000 2.20% 20.3% 10.5% 8.4% 5.4% 3.7% 5.1% 8.1% 1.0% 1.6% 5.0% 0,3% 1.3% 0.9% 9.8%
20-24 March 2021 Charta Politika[30] 1,200 2.89% 20.7% 14.2% 7.8% 9.7% 5.4% 8,2% 4.2% 1.0% 2.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 2.0% 6.5%
25 February-5 March 2021 IndEX[31] 1,200 2.90% 24.7% 12.3% 7.8% 5.4% 3.6% 6.2% 7.1% 1.1% 2.0% 5.0% 0.6% 1.3% 1.1% 12.4%
22 February 2021 Litbang Kompas[32] 2,000 2.83% 19.7% 9.6% 3.4% 5.5% 1.7% 5.4% 4.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% - 1.1% 10.1%
20-31 January 2021 New Indonesia
Research & Consulting[33]		 1,200 2.89% 23.1% 12.6% 9.1% 6.4% 3.5% 7.7% 8.2% 1.0% 2.0% 4.8% 0.2% 1.1% 0.3% 10.5%
17 April 2019 Election results[34] 19.33% 12.57% 12.31% 9.69% 9.05% 8.21% 7.77% 6.84% 4.52% 1.89% 1.54% - 6.27% 6.76%

Presidential polls
Main article: Opinion polling for the 2024 Indonesian presidential election

References
  1. "Singgung Galungan, Mendagri Tegaskan Jadwal Pemilu 28 Februari 2024 Belum Final". VOI (in Indonesian). 9 June 2021. Retrieved 9 June 2021.
  2. "Alasan Pemilu Digelar 21 Februari dan Pilkada pada 27 November 2024". Kumparan (in Indonesian). 30 August 2021. Retrieved 2 September 2021.
  3. "Polemik Tanggal Pelaksanaan Pemilu 2024 Masih Bergulir". Merdeka.com (in Indonesian). 25 September 2021. Retrieved 25 September 2021.
  4. "Gerindra Dukung Usulan Pemerintah terkait Jadwal Pemungutan Suara Pemilu 15 Mei 2024". Tribunnews (in Indonesian). 3 October 2021. Retrieved 3 October 2021.
  5. Kiswondari (15 November 2020). "KPU Targetkan Sirekap Digunakan pada Pemilu 2024". sindonews.com (in Indonesian). Retrieved 3 January 2021.
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  7. "Revisi UU Pemilu, Ada 3 Opsi Penentuan Nasib Partai di 2024". CNN Indonesia (in Indonesian). 9 June 2020. Retrieved 4 January 2021.
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  11. "Survei Indopol Elektabilitas Partai: PDIP 15,04%, Gerindra 13,01% dan Golkar 6,34%". 13 December 2021. Retrieved 15 December 2021.
  12. "Survei: NasDem masuk 3 besar dengan elektabilitas 9,3 persen". 30 November 2021. Retrieved 1 December 2021.
  13. "Survei Y-Publica: Peta Elektoral Parpol PDIP Kokoh di Puncak, PSI Terus Naik". 13 November 2021. Retrieved 13 November 2021.
  14. "Survei CPCS: Partai Demokrat masuk tiga besar". 22 October 2021. Retrieved 22 October 2021.
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  23. "Hasil Survei Terbaru: Pendukung Pemerintah Suram, Partai Demokrat Berpeluang Juara di 2024". 8 August 2021. Retrieved 9 August 2021.
  24. "Survei Voxpol : Elektabilitas Partai Ummat yang Didirikan Tokoh Amien Rais Jauh dari Angka 1 Persen". 5 July 2021. Retrieved 6 July 2021.
  25. "Hasil Survei: Demokrat Geser Golkar, PSI Mantap di Tengah, Partai Ummat Pimpin Papan Bawah". 8 June 2021. Retrieved 8 June 2021.
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  27. "Survei ARSC: Elektabilitas PDI-P 15,03 Persen, Gerindra 15,03 Persen, Demokrat 14,08 Persen". 22 May 2021. Retrieved 22 May 2021.
  28. "Survei Indikator: Elektabilitas PDIP 25,3 Persen, Gerindra 13,1 Persen". 4 May 2021. Retrieved 4 May 2021.
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