2024 United States Senate election in Arizona
The 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Arizona. Incumbent one-term Democratic Senator Kyrsten Sinema has not yet decided whether she will seek a second term.
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| Elections in Arizona |
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Democratic primary
Sinema is considered one of the senators most vulnerable to a primary challenge due to her opposition to parts of President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better Act, specifically the provisions concerning lowering prescription drug prices, as well as her opposition to increasing minimum wage and to filibuster reform. Prospective polling shows Sinema trailing all of her potential challengers by wide margins.[1]
Potential
- Kate Gallego, mayor of Phoenix[2]
- Ruben Gallego, U.S. Representative[3][4][5][6]
- Kathy Hoffman, Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction[6]
- Martin Quezada, state senator[4]
- Regina Romero, mayor of Tucson[2][6]
- Kyrsten Sinema, incumbent U.S. Senator[4]
- Greg Stanton, U.S. Representative and former mayor of Phoenix[2][6]
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Kate Gallego |
Ruben Gallego |
Kathy Hoffman |
Regina Romero |
Kyrsten Sinema |
Greg Stanton |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | November 1–8, 2021 | 229 (RV) | ± 6.5% | – | 47% | – | – | 24% | – | 29% |
| – | – | 44% | – | 24% | – | 32% | ||||
| – | – | – | – | 25% | 47% | 28% | ||||
| Data for Progress (D)[upper-alpha 1] | October 8–10, 2021 | 467 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 9% | 23% | – | 9% | 19% | 13% | 26% |
| 60% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 15% | ||||
| – | 62% | – | – | 23% | – | 15% | ||||
| – | – | – | 55% | 26% | – | 19% | ||||
| – | – | – | – | 24% | 59% | 17% |
Republican primary
Potential
- Doug Ducey, outgoing Governor of Arizona (2015–2023)[7]
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Primary Sinema
References
- "Poll: Kyrsten Sinema Poised to Lose Democratic Primary in 2024".
- "Progressive Group's Poll Suggests Deep Primary Trouble for Kyrsten Sinema". October 14, 2021.
- Greenwood, Max (October 7, 2021). "Ruben Gallego is left's favorite to take on Sinema". The Hill. Retrieved October 14, 2021.
- Seitz-Wald, Alex; Kapur, Sahil (September 30, 2021). "Could Sen. Kyrsten Sinema face a primary? These progressives are trying to make it happen". NBC News. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
- "Liberal backlash against Sinema grows on Capitol Hill as potential Arizona challenger emerges".
- CNN, Manu Raju and Alex Rogers. "Liberal backlash against Sinema grows on Capitol Hill as potential Arizona challenger emerges". CNN. Retrieved October 21, 2021.
- Flynn, Daniel. "Confounding Kyrsten: Sinema's Style and Substance". The American Spectator.
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