2024 United States Senate election in Arizona

The 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Arizona. Incumbent one-term Democratic Senator Kyrsten Sinema has not yet decided whether she will seek a second term.

2024 United States Senate election in Arizona

November 5, 2024
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Kyrsten Sinema
Democratic


Democratic primary

Sinema is considered one of the senators most vulnerable to a primary challenge due to her opposition to parts of President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better Act, specifically the provisions concerning lowering prescription drug prices, as well as her opposition to increasing minimum wage and to filibuster reform. Prospective polling shows Sinema trailing all of her potential challengers by wide margins.[1]

Potential

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Kate
Gallego
Ruben
Gallego
Kathy
Hoffman
Regina
Romero
Kyrsten
Sinema
Greg
Stanton
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights November 1–8, 2021 229 (RV) ± 6.5% 47% 24% 29%
44% 24% 32%
25% 47% 28%
Data for Progress (D)[upper-alpha 1] October 8–10, 2021 467 (LV) ± 5.0% 9% 23% 9% 19% 13% 26%
60% 25% 15%
62% 23% 15%
55% 26% 19%
24% 59% 17%

Republican primary

Potential

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Primary Sinema

References

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