2026 Portuguese presidential election
A Portuguese presidential election will be held in January 2026. This election will elect the successor of President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, as he is barred from running for a third term.
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Background and election procedure
Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa was re-elect in January 2021 with almost 61% of the votes on the first round. He took the oath of office on March 9, 2021, and continued the Cohabitation with Socialist Prime Minister António Costa.
In Portugal, the president is the head of state, has mostly ceremonial powers. However, the president does have some political influence and can dissolve the Parliament of Portugal if a crisis occurs. The president also has an official residence in the Belém Palace in Lisbon.
In order to stand for election, candidates had to each gather 7,500 signatures of support one month before the election, and submit them to the Constitutional Court of Portugal. Then, the Constitutional Court has to certified if the candidacies submitted met the requirements to appear on the ballot. The highest number of candidacies ever accepted was ten in 2016.
Under Portuguese law, a candidate must receive a majority of votes (50% plus one vote) to be elected. If no candidate achieved a majority in the first round, a runoff election (i.e., second round, held between the two candidates who received the most votes in the first round) has to be held.
Potential candidates
- António Costa, Secretary-general of the Socialist Party (PS) since 2014; Incumbent Prime Minister since 2015;[1]
- Paulo Portas, Former leader of CDS-People's Party (CDS-PP) (1998–2005, 2007–2016); Deputy Minister (2013–2015) and minister in the 15th, 16th, 19th and 20th governments;[2]
- José Sócrates, Former Prime Minister (2005-2011); Former Secretary-general of the Socialist Party (PS) (2004-2011);[3]
- Luís Marques Mendes, Former Social Democratic Party (PSD) leader (2005–2007);[2]
- Pedro Passos Coelho, Former Prime Minister (2011–2015); Former Social Democratic Party (PSD) leader (2010–2018);[2]
- Pedro Santana Lopes, Incumbent Mayor of Figueira da Foz (2021-...) (1998-2002); Former Prime Minister of Portugal (2004-2005); Former Social Democratic Party (PSD) leader (2004-2005);[4]
- Rui Moreira, Incumbent Mayor of Porto since 2013;[2]
- António Guterres, Secretary-General of the United Nations since 2017; former Prime Minister (1995-2002); former Secretary-general of the Socialist Party (PS) (1992-2002);[2]
- Henrique Gouveia e Melo, former Coordinator of the COVID-19 Vaccination Plan Task Force (2021); Commander of the European Maritime Force (2017-2019); Portuguese Navy officer;[5]
Opinion polling
Approval ratings
The table below lists the evolution of public opinion on the President's performance in office.
| Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Approve | Disapprove | No opinion | Net | |||
| Intercampus | 13–20 Aug 2021 | 612 | 62.3 | 12.8 | 24.9 | 49.5 |
| Eurosondagem | 26–29 Jul 2021 | 1,025 | 81.1 | 8.0 | 10.9 | 73.1 |
| Aximage | 10–12 Jul 2021 | 763 | 55 | 18 | 27 | 37 |
| Eurosondagem | 5–8 Jul 2021 | 1,022 | 80.8 | 9.7 | 9.5 | 71.1 |
| Aximage | 26–30 May 2021 | 796 | 70 | 10 | 20 | 60 |
| Eurosondagem | 10–13 May 2021 | 1,008 | 80.0 | 9.4 | 10.6 | 70.6 |
| Intercampus | 5–11 May 2021 | 610 | 69.0 | 11.1 | 19.9 | 57.9 |
| Aximage | 22–25 Apr 2021 | 830 | 71 | 10 | 19 | 61 |
| Intercampus | 7–13 Apr 2021 | 609 | 67.0 | 14.7 | 18.3 | 52.3 |
| ICS/ISCTE | 5–13 Apr 2021 | 802 | 79.9 | 7.3 | 12.8 | 72.6 |
| Eurosondagem | 5–8 Apr 2021 | 1,020 | 75.1 | 4.8 | 20.1 | 70.3 |
| Aximage | 24–27 Mar 2021 | 830 | 72 | 17 | 11 | 55 |
| Intercampus | 4–10 Mar 2021 | 615 | 69.3 | 10.2 | 20.5 | 59.1 |
References
- “Costa prepara Legislativas a pensar nas Presidenciais de 2026? Há quem aposte nisso”, Observador (June 11, 2018).
- “Exclusivo Palácio de Belém, 2026. Os possíveis inquilinos que se seguem”, Diário de Notícias (October 25, 2020).
- "Sócrates diz que "mentiras caíram", promete defender-se e avisa ter "muito a dizer", Jornal de Negócios (April 9, 2021).
- ""Não me excluo de nada". Santana Lopes antevê presidenciais de 2026". ZAP Notícias (in Portuguese). 2020-10-02. Retrieved 2021-11-18.
- "Candidatura à Presidência da República? Gouveia e Melo diz que daria um péssimo político". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2021-12-08.




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