2023 Ogun State gubernatorial election
The 2023 Ogun State gubernatorial election will take place in early 2023, to elect the Governor of Ogun State. Incumbent APC Governor Dapo Abiodun is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so. The primaries will be scheduled for late 2022 or early 2023.
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Electoral system
The Governor of Ogun State is elected using a modified two-round system. To be elected in the first round, a candidate must receive the plurality of the vote and over 25% of the vote in at least two-thirds of state local government areas. If no candidate passes this threshold, a second round will be held between the top candidate and the next candidate to have received a plurality of votes in the highest number of local government areas.
Primary elections
The primaries, along with any potential challenges to primary results, will take place in late 2022 or early 2023.
APC
Analysts view the APC gubernatorial primary as a likely battle between factions within the Ogun APC, namely: the faction led by former Governor and current Ogun Central Senator Ibikunle Amosun, former Governor Olusegun Osoba's group, former Governor Gbenga Daniel's faction, incumbent Governor Dapo Abiodun's bloc, and the group of former Lagos West Senator Solomon Olamilekan Adeola. The two most powerful groups appear the Abiodun and Amosun factions, the same groups from the 2019 primary where Abiodun prevailed and much of Amosun's faction temporarily left to run under the Allied Peoples Movement. Tensions between the factions reached a head in late 2021 when Amosun's faction held a parallel party conference and elected separate leadership to Abiodun's bloc.[1]
Potential
- Dapo Abiodun, incumbent Governor[1][2][3]
- Solomon Olamilekan Adeola, former Senator for Lagos West[1]
- Adekunle Akinlade, former House of Representatives member for Egbado South/Ipokia and 2019 APC gubernatorial candidate and APM gubernatorial nominee[1][2]
- Gboyega Nasir Isiaka, former Gbenga Daniel aide, 2015 PDP gubernatorial nominee, and 2019 ADC gubernatorial nominee[3]
Potential
- Oladipupo Olatunde Adebutu, former House of Representatives member for Remo/Shagamu/Ikenne and 2019 PDP gubernatorial candidate[3]
References
- Akinfenwa, Gbenga. "Ogun 2023: Battle for APC political structure intensifies". The Guardian. Retrieved 9 November 2021.
- Akinfenwa, Gbenga. "Time tolls for Ogun APC as 2023 challenges fester". The Guardian. Retrieved 2 August 2021.
- Olumide, Seye. "Ogun 2023: Intrigues as PDP plots against APC". The Guardian. Retrieved 12 December 2021.