2022 United States Senate election in Florida

The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for reelection to a third term.[1]

For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections.

2022 United States Senate election in Florida
November 8, 2022
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Marco Rubio
Republican
Elections in Florida
Federal government
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
Republican
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House elections
Special elections
C.S. House elections
State government
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Attorney General elections
Chief Financial Officer elections
Agriculture Commissioner elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Ballot measures
Fort Lauderdale
Mayoral elections
Gainesville
Mayoral elections
Hialeah
Mayoral elections
Jacksonville
Mayoral elections
Miami
Mayoral elections
Miami Beach
Mayoral elections
Miami-Dade County
Mayoral elections
North Miami
Mayoral elections
Orange County
Mayoral elections
Orlando
Mayoral elections
St. Petersburg
Mayoral elections
Tallahassee
Mayoral elections
Tampa
Mayoral elections
West Palm Beach
Mayoral elections
Government

Republican primary
Incumbent U.S. Senator Marco Rubio from West Miami

Declared

Potential

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements
Marco Rubio
U.S. Executive Branch Officials

Democratic primary

Declared
Democratic candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Potential

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements
Val Demings
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
Organizations
Alan Grayson
Individuals
Ken Russell
Organizations

Independent and third party candidates
Declared
Declared
Declared
Declared
Potential
Declined
Third-party and Independent candidates[lower-alpha 1]

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[68] Lean R July 16, 2021
Inside Elections[69] Battleground October 8, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[70] Likely R March 11, 2021

Polling
Marco Rubio vs. Val Demings
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Marco
Rubio (R)		 Val
Demings (D)		 Undecided
[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
Real Clear Politics August 4 – November 19, 2021 November 22, 2021 50.5% 41.5% 8.0% Rubio +9.0
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Marco
Rubio (R)		 Val
Demings (D)		 Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls November 18–19, 2021 2,896 (LV) ± 1.8% 51% 44% – 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 867 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 33% 3% 12%
842 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 36% 3% 10%
Saint Leo University October 17–23, 2021 500 (A) ± 4.5% 47% 29% – 25%
VCreek/AMG (R)[upper-alpha 1] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% 38% 5% 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 34% 3% 11%
977 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 37% 3% 10%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R) August 14–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 55% 45% – –
St. Pete Polls August 16–17, 2021 2,068 (RV) ± 2.2% 48% 46% – 6%
Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 2] August 14–17, 2021 1,585 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 44% – 9%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 50% 39% 1% 9%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R) June 27, 2021 681 (LV) ± 3.9% 60% 40% – –
Marco Rubio vs. Alan Grayson
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Marco
Rubio (R)		 Alan
Grayson (D)		 Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 867 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 34% 4% 12%
842 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 37% 4% 10%
VCreek/AMG (R)[upper-alpha 1] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 32% 10% 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 33% 4% 12%
977 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 36% 4% 11%
Hypothetical polling
Marco Rubio vs. Aramis Ayala
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Marco
Rubio (R)		 Aramis
Ayala (D)		 Undecided
Cherry Communications (R) April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 39% –
Marco Rubio vs. Stephanie Murphy
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Marco
Rubio (R)		 Stephanie
Murphy (D)		 Undecided
Cherry Communications (R) April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% –
Marco Rubio vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]		 Margin
of error		 Marco
Rubio (R)		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Mason-Dixon February 24–28, 2021 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 40% 14%
Data for Progress (D)[upper-alpha 3] September 15–22, 2020 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 43% 15%

Notes
  1. The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by Americas PAC
  2. This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
  3. Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

References
  1. "Sen. Marco Rubio will run for reelection in 2022". The Floridian. November 9, 2020. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
  2. "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1539881". Federal Election Commission. September 28, 2021. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
  3. "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. April 14, 2021. Retrieved May 20, 2021.
  4. "STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  5. "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1496158". Federal Election Commission. January 31, 2021. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
  6. "FEC FORM 2 STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. April 20, 2021. Retrieved April 25, 2021.
  7. "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved June 12, 2021.
  8. Manjarres, Javier (November 4, 2019). "Succeeding Marco Rubio in 2022". The Floridian. Retrieved September 22, 2020.
  9. "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1506231". Federal Election Commission. March 24, 2021. Retrieved March 29, 2021.
  10. "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved June 12, 2021.
  11. "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved February 26, 2021.
  12. Manjarres, Javier (February 6, 2021). "Ivanka Trump, Pam Bondi will not challenge Rubio in 2022 · The Floridian". The Floridian. Retrieved February 7, 2021.
  13. Contorno, Steve (January 19, 2021). "Matt Gaetz won't challenge Marco Rubio in 2022, he says". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
  14. Speare-Cole, Rebecca (December 14, 2020). "Roger Stone considers running for Senate in Florida against Marco Rubio or Rick Scott". Newsweek. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
  15. Smiley, David (December 17, 2020). "Marco Rubio may face a Florida primary challenge in 2022. Here's why". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved December 19, 2020.
  16. Zitser, Joshua (June 5, 2021). "Trump on idea to run for House seat in 2022 in a bid to become Speaker and launch an impeachment inquiry against Biden: 'It's very interesting'". Business Insider. Retrieved June 6, 2021.
  17. Greenwood, Max (April 9, 2021). "Trump hands Rubio coveted reelection endorsement in Florida". TheHill. Retrieved June 6, 2021.
  18. Luscombe, Richard (January 24, 2021). "'I like Ivanka': Marco Rubio sweats over rumoured Trump Senate challenge". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
  19. Lonas, Lexi (February 18, 2021). "Ivanka Trump won't challenge Rubio for Senate seat in 2022". The Hill. Retrieved February 18, 2021.
  20. Gancarski, A. G. (July 16, 2021). "Mike Waltz reports more than $1M on hand for reelection". Florida Politics. Retrieved July 21, 2021.
  21. Greenwood, Max. "Trump hands Rubio coveted reelection endorsement in Florida". thehill.com. Retrieved April 9, 2021.
  22. Caputo, Marc (February 24, 2021). "Rep. Stephanie Murphy 'seriously considering' bid to unseat Rubio". Politico. Retrieved May 14, 2021.
  23. Greenwood, Max (June 9, 2021). "Florida Rep. Val Demings officially enters Senate race against Rubio". The Hill. Retrieved June 9, 2021.
  24. Ogles, Jacob (December 2, 2020). "Allen Ellison files for Senate against Marco Rubio". Florida Politics. Retrieved March 29, 2021.
  25. Perry, Mitch (June 18, 2021). "Al Fox is very serious about a U.S. Senate candidacy in 2022". Bay News 9. Retrieved July 9, 2021.
  26. Ogles, Jacob (June 7, 2021). "'It's on': Alan Grayson slams 'corrupt' Marco Rubio, steps up Senate bid". Florida Politics. Retrieved June 8, 2021.
  27. "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
  28. "Candidate Tracking system – Florida Division of Elections – Department of State". dos.elections.myflorida.com. Retrieved October 1, 2020.
  29. "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1515525". Federal Election Commission. May 8, 2021. Retrieved May 11, 2021.
  30. Flechas, Joey (June 3, 2021). "Miami Commissioner Ken Russell says he'll run to challenge Marco Rubio for U.S. Senate". Miami Herald. Retrieved June 3, 2021.
  31. López, Juan Carlos (February 9, 2021). "William Sánchez quiere ocupar el puesto de Marco Rubio". CNN (in Spanish). Retrieved February 26, 2021.
  32. Prieur, Danielle (July 23, 2021). "Orlando's Coleman Watson is Running for U.S. Senate". WMFE-FM. Retrieved July 24, 2021.
  33. Lemongello, Steven (July 23, 2021). "Orlando attorney and stroke survivor Coleman Watson makes bid for U.S. Senate in Florida". Orlando Sentinel. Retrieved July 25, 2021.
  34. Balido, Giselle (May 21, 2021). "This Is Why Josh Weil Is Running to 'Retire Marco Rubio'". The Americano. Retrieved June 6, 2021.
  35. Burlew, Jeff (November 20, 2018). "Gwen Graham could be statewide contender again, in four long years". Tallahassee Democrat. Retrieved September 14, 2020.
  36. Man, Anthony (January 2, 2021). "2020 is over, but South Florida top political developments will reverberate long into the future". Sun Sentinel. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  37. "Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State". Florida Department of State. June 28, 2018. Retrieved May 21, 2021.
  38. Speck, Emilee (May 3, 2021). "Former State Attorney Aramis Ayala exploring run for US Senate". ClickOrlando.com. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
  39. Moore, Stewart (May 26, 2021). "Aramis Ayala to run for Val Demings' Orlando congressional seat". WESH. Retrieved May 26, 2021.
  40. Greenwood, Max (May 4, 2021). "Crist launches bid for Florida governor, seeking to recapture his old job". The Hill. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
  41. Smiley, Dave (November 10, 2020). "Florida's 2022 elections are already shaping up. Here's who is (and may be) running". Miami Herald. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
  42. Schorsch, Peter (May 7, 2021). "Delegation for 5.7.21: Dominoes fall — fraud watch — gun loophole — special elections — muzzling the right?". Florida Politics. Retrieved May 20, 2021.
  43. Nichol, Ryan (July 15, 2021). "Ted Deutch adds nearly $125K in second quarter, holds $435K for CD 22 reelection bid". Florida Politics. Retrieved July 24, 2021.
  44. Powers, Scott (July 29, 2019). "Anna Eskamani registers higher-office campaign websites—just in case". Florida Politics. Archived from the original on March 10, 2020. Retrieved April 2, 2020.
  45. Burkhart, Eduardo (May 6, 2021). "Anna Eskamani won't run for Florida Governor in 2022". Florida Politics. Retrieved May 6, 2021.
  46. Ritchie, Bruce (June 1, 2021). "Florida's Nikki Fried jumps into 2022 race to challenge DeSantis". Politico. Retrieved June 1, 2021.
  47. Caputo, Marc (February 24, 2021). "Rep. Stephanie Murphy 'seriously considering' bid to unseat Rubio". POLITICO. Retrieved February 26, 2021.
  48. Nichols, Hans (May 12, 2021). "Democratic Rep. Stephanie Murphy to announce Senate challenge to Marco Rubio". Axios. Retrieved May 17, 2021.
  49. Caputo, Marc (May 24, 2021). "Florida Rep. Stephanie Murphy will not challenge Rubio for Senate". Politico. Retrieved May 24, 2021.
  50. "FL-Sen: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D. NY) Wastes No Time Helping Val Demings (D) Kick Rubio's (R) Ass". Daily Kos. Retrieved July 24, 2021.
  51. Kevin Derby (May 28, 2021). "Kathy Castor Makes Early Endorsements as Florida Democrats Look Ahead to 2022". Florida Daily. Retrieved June 9, 2021.
  52. Chasmar, Jessica (October 4, 2021). "Val Demings embraces hard left Democrats in Florida Senate run". Fox News. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
  53. Caputo, Marc (May 18, 2021). "Val Demings to run for Senate against Rubio". Politico. Retrieved May 18, 2021.
  54. McNeir, Kevin. "Congressional Black Caucus PAC Endorses Val Demings for U.S. Senate". Washington Informer. Retrieved June 10, 2021.
  55. Arkin, James. "EMILY's List backs Demings in Florida Senate race". Politico PRO. Retrieved June 10, 2021.
  56. "Giffords Endorses Val Demings for the US Senate at Gun Violence Memorial". www.giffords.org. Giffords. December 13, 2021. Retrieved December 13, 2021.
  57. "Marianne Williamson's Candidate Summit". Candidate Summit. Retrieved July 8, 2021.
  58. "Ken Russell for U.S. Senate". kenrussellforflorida.com. Retrieved August 8, 2021.
  59. "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1517879". Federal Election Commission. May 23, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2021.
  60. "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1521399". Federal Election Commission. June 23, 2021. Retrieved June 30, 2021.
  61. "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1504582". Federal Election Commission. March 17, 2021. Retrieved May 21, 2021.
  62. "FLORIDA". PoliticsOne. September 16, 2020. Retrieved September 22, 2020.
  63. "GRANDA, GRACE - Candidate overview".
  64. Swisher, Skyler (March 2, 2021). "Boynton Beach Mayor Steven Grant files to challenge Sen. Marco Rubio in 2022 election". Sun-Sentinel. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
  65. "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1502604". Federal Election Commission. March 2, 2021. Retrieved March 29, 2021.
  66. Fordin, Spencer (July 27, 2020). "Former U.S. Rep. David Jolly hints at possible run for Governor or U.S. Senate". Florida Politics. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
  67. Caputo, Marc (January 28, 2021). "'What Democrat beats that guy?': Top Dems flinch from Rubio challenge". POLITICO. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  68. "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  69. "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  70. "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
Official campaign websites
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.