2022 California gubernatorial election
The 2022 California gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the Governor of California, with the statewide top-two primary election taking place on June 7, 2022.[1] Incumbent Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom is running for re-election to a second term after surviving a recall election in 2021, during his first term.
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| Elections in California |
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The elections will feature universal mail-in ballots and in-person voting on election day, following legislation which made the pandemic-era election format (used in all 2020 and 2021 elections in California) permanent.[2]
Candidates
Declared
The following individuals have declared their candidacy with the California secretary of state.[3]
| Candidate | Party | Prior positions |
|---|---|---|
| David Asem | Democratic | |
| Charles D. Boggus | Republican | |
| David Alexander Bramante | Republican | Real estate agent, developer, podcast host and candidate in the 2021 recall election |
| Jerry S. Brandt | No party preference | |
| Edward Buraye | Republican | |
| Carla L. Canada | Republican | |
| Thomas J. Cares | Democratic | |
| John Chiang | Democratic | Former Treasurer of California, California State Controller and member of the California Board of Equalization from the 4th district |
| Michael G. Coltharp II | Republican | |
| John H. Cox | Republican | Businessman, nominee for governor in 2018 and candidate in the 2021 recall election |
| Mariana B. Dawson | No party preference | |
| Brian Domingo | Republican | |
| Julie A. Eade | Republican | |
| Kevin Faulconer | Republican | Former mayor of San Diego and candidate in the 2021 recall election |
| Chaz A. Flemmings | No party preference | |
| Samuel L. Gallucci | Republican | Pastor, software developer and candidate in the 2021 recall election |
| Jason P. Gateas | Republican | |
| Sukhbir S. Gill | Democratic | |
| Steven L. Green | Democratic | |
| James G. Hanink | No qualified party preference (American Solidarity)[note 1] | Former Loyola Marymount University philosophy professor and candidate in the 2021 recall election |
| Sean Harrison | Republican | |
| Timothy P. Herode | Republican | |
| Justin D. Hubbard | Republican | |
| Raymond E. Jenkins | Green Party | |
| Paul Kangas | Democratic | |
| Jenny Rae Le Roux | Republican | Business owner, management consultant and candidate in the 2021 recall election |
| Joseph Luciano | Republican | |
| Louis J. Marinelli | Republican | |
| Diego J. Martinez | Republican | Business owner and candidate in the 2021 recall election |
| Barbara I. Mc Veigh | Green Party | |
| Daniel R. Mercuri | Republican | Business owner, candidate for California's 25th congressional district in the 2020 special election and general election and the 2021 recall election |
| Gavin Newsom | Democratic | incumbent governor |
| Doug Ose | Republican | former U.S. Representative for California's 3rd congressional district, candidate for governor in 2018 and the 2021 recall election |
| Steven J. Peloza | American Independent Party | |
| Armando Perez-Serrato | Democratic | Business owner and candidate in the 2021 recall election |
| Charles W. Reyburn | No party preference | |
| Reinette Senum | No party preference | Former 2x city council member & mayor, community activist |
| Laura S. Smith | Republican | |
| Sarah L. Stephens | Republican | Pastor, motivational speaker, conservative activist and candidate in the 2021 recall election |
| Anthony D Trimino | Republican | Business owner and candidate in the 2021 recall election |
| Errol G. Webber | Republican | |
| Nickolas Wildstar | Republican | Rapper and perennial candidate (including in the 2014 and 2018 gubernatorial elections, 2018 Fullerton City Council elections and 2020 Fresno mayoral election) |
| Major Williams | Republican | Businessman and candidate in the 2021 recall election |
Publicly expressed interest
- Larry Elder, conservative talk show host, author, and candidate in the 2021 recall election[8][9]
- Caitlyn Jenner, Reality show personality, and candidate in the 2021 recall election[10]
- Kevin Paffrath, YouTuber, real estate broker, landlord, and candidate in the 2021 recall election[11]
Potential
- Kimberly Guilfoyle, television personality, former advisor to Donald Trump, and ex-wife of Gavin Newsom[12]
- Kevin Kiley, state assemblyman from the 6th district (2016–present) and candidate in the 2021 recall election[13]
Withdrew
- Adriel Hampton, digital media businessman and candidate for California's 10th congressional district in 2009[14][15]
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RedState | Oct 10–12, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 58% | –[lower-alpha 2] |
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[16] | Solid D | October 5, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[17] | Solid D | September 29, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Safe D | September 15, 2021 |
Hypothetical polling
- Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Faulconer
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Kevin Faulconer (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of California, Berkeley | August 30 – September 6, 2021 | 9,809 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 27% | 24% |
- Gavin Newsom vs. John Cox
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
John Cox (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of California, Berkeley | August 30 – September 6, 2021 | 9,809 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 51% | 26% | 23% |
- Gavin Newsom vs. Larry Elder
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Larry Elder (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of California, Berkeley | August 30 – September 6, 2021 | 9,809 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 52% | 30% | 18% |
- Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Kiley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Kevin Kiley (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of California, Berkeley | August 30 – September 6, 2021 | 9,809 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - John Cox and Kevin Faulconer were included in this poll although their results have not yet been released
- Hanink was listed on the 2021 recall ballot as "no party preference" and listed in the official Voter Information Guide as "no qualified party preference" because the party with which Hanink was registered, the American Solidarity Party, did not have ballot access at the time the ballot was printed. The party is attempting to qualify for ballot access in time for the 2022 California primaries.[4][5][6][7]
References
- "Bill Text - SB-970 Primary election date".
- "California Adopts Vote-by-Mail System for All Future Elections".
- "Candidates & Elected Officials". Cal-Access. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
- Spielmann, Cristobal; Backer-Peral, Veronica (May 6, 2021). "Former LMU professor runs for governor in recall election". Los Angeles Loyolan. Retrieved July 12, 2021.
- Winger, Richard (August 18, 2021). "California Secretary of State Makes a Tiny Concession to Unqualified Parties in the Official Voter Information Guide". Ballot Access News. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
- Black, SaVannah. "Political Body: American Solidarity Party" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved July 20, 2021.
- Weber, Shirley. "California Gubernatorial Recall Election Official Voter Information Guide" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved August 24, 2021.
- "Larry Elder 'very likely' to run again in 2022". ABC News. August 24, 2021. Retrieved September 29, 2021.
- "California recall: The 2022 campaign starts now". Cal Matters. Retrieved September 14, 2021.
- Castronuovo, Celine (September 28, 2021). "Caitlyn Jenner says she would run again, calls on GOP to be 'more inclusive'". Fox News. Retrieved September 28, 2021.
- Levy, Ari (August 15, 2021). "This 29-year-old YouTube millionaire has a good chance to be the next governor of California". CNBC. Retrieved August 15, 2021.
Paffrath said he’ll run in 2022 even if the recall is unsuccessful or if another replacement candidate wins.
- "California may get Kimberly Guilfoyle back, running for public office". Mercury News. February 27, 2021. Retrieved August 17, 2021.,
- "Newsom easily beats back recall effort in California". The Hill. September 14, 2021. Retrieved September 14, 2021.,
- Haber, Matt (October 31, 2019). "Meet the Gubernatorial Candidate Whose Campaign Has One Mission: Attacking Facebook's Fake Political Ads Problem". Inc.com. Retrieved October 28, 2020.
- Hampton, Adriel [@adrielhampton] (September 1, 2021). "I declared for California Governor in the fall of 2019 in order to shame Facebook for its political ad practices. Today, I'm formally withdrawing from the 2022 race, and calling on Gavin Newsom to step down as Governor for the good of our state" (Tweet). Archived from the original on September 1, 2021. Retrieved September 4, 2021 – via Twitter.
- "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 15, 2021.
- "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved September 15, 2021.
- "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 15, 2021.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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