2022 United States Senate election in Missouri
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri will be held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. Senators and elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Missouri. On March 8, 2021, incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt announced that he would not seek reelection to a third term in office.[1][2]
Republican primary
Declared
- John Brinkmann, insurance agency owner and financial consultant[3]
- Rik Combs, businessman, retired U.S. Air Force officer and Libertarian nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2020[4]
- Eric Greitens, former Governor of Missouri (2017–2018) and retired Navy SEAL[5]
- Jeremy Gundel, farmer[6]
- Vicky Hartzler, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 4th congressional district (2011–present) and former state representative (1995–2001)[7]
- Billy Long, auctioneer and U.S. Representative from Missouri's 7th congressional district (2011–present)[8]
- Mark McCloskey, attorney and 2020 Republican National Convention speaker known for his involvement in the St. Louis gun-toting controversy[9]
- Deshon Porter, host of The Big D Zone[3]
- Dave Schatz, president pro tempore of the Missouri Senate (2019–present), state senator (2015–present), and former state representative (2011–2015)[10]
- Eric S. Schmitt, Missouri Attorney General (2019–present), former Missouri State Treasurer (2017–2019), and former state senator (2009–2017)[11]
Republican candidates[lower-alpha 1]
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Publicly expressed interest
- Jason Smith, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 8th congressional district (2013–present) and former state representative (2005–2013)[12]
Potential
- John Brunner, businessman, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012, and candidate for Governor of Missouri in 2016[13]
- Carl Edwards, former NASCAR driver[12]
Withdrew
- Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2011–present), former U.S. Representative from Missouri's 7th congressional district (1997–2011), and former Secretary of State of Missouri (1985–1993)[14][15]
- Dan McQueen, former mayor of Corpus Christi, Texas (2016–2017), U.S. Navy officer (1978–1994), and engineer[16][3]
Declined
- Jay Ashcroft, Secretary of State of Missouri (2017–present)[17]
- Scott Fitzpatrick, State Treasurer of Missouri (2019–present) and former state representative (2013–2019) (running for state auditor)[13][18]
- Timothy A. Garrison, former U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Missouri (2018–2021)[19]
- Blaine Luetkemeyer, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 3rd congressional district (2013–present) and Missouri's 9th congressional district (2009–2013)[20]
- Mike Kehoe, Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2018–present), former majority leader of the Missouri Senate (2015–2018), and former state senator (2011–2018)[21] (running for governor)[22]
- Peter Kinder, former Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2005–2017), former president pro tempore of the Missouri Senate (2001–2005), and former state senator (1993–2005)[23]
- Mike Parson, Governor of Missouri (2018–present), former Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2017–2018), former state senator (2011–2017), and former state representative (2005–2011)[24]
- Kathy Swan, former state representative (2012–2021)[23]
- Ann Wagner, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 2nd congressional district (2013–present) and former U.S. Ambassador to Luxembourg (2005–2009) (running for re-election)[25][26]
Endorsements
Eric Greitens
- Federal officials
- Michael Flynn, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2017)[27]
- Joseph diGenova, U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia (1983–1988), attorney to President Donald Trump[28]
- Sebastian Gorka, Deputy Assistant to the President (2017)[28]
- Ryan Zinke, U.S. Secretary of the Interior (2017–2019), U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district (2015–2017), member of the Montana Senate (2009–2013)[28]
- Local officials
- Rudy Giuliani, Mayor of New York City (1994–2001), U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York (1983–1989), U.S. Associate Attorney General (1981–1983)[29]
- Bernard Kerik, Minister of the Interior of Iraq (2003), New York City Police Commissioner (2000–2001), Commissioner of the New York City Department of Correction (1998–2000)[30]
- Individuals
- Kimberly Guilfoyle, television news personality[31]
- Dennis Prager, radio host, founder of PragerU[30]
- Victoria Toensing, attorney to President Donald Trump[28]
Vicky Hartzler
- Federal officials
- Michele Bachmann, former U.S. Representative for Minnesota's 6th congressional district (2007–2015) and candidate for president in 2012[32]
- Deb Fischer, U.S. Senator from Nebraska (2013–present)[33]
- Organizations
Eric Schmitt
- Federal officials
- Matthew Whitaker, former acting U.S. Attorney General (2018-2019), former U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa (2004-2009), nominee for Iowa State Treasurer in 2002, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014[35]
- Individuals
- Dana Loesch, radio and TV host[36]
- Organizations
- Americans for Prosperity Action[36]
Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens |
Vicky Hartzler |
Billy Long |
Mark McCloskey |
Dave Schatz |
Eric Schmitt |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | December 1–2, 2021 | 744 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 24% | 19% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | October 20–21, 2021 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 27% | 19% | 8% | 4% | – | 25% | 17% |
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[upper-alpha 2] | October 3–5, 2021 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 36% | 10% | – | – | – | 17% | – |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | September 8–9, 2021 | 847 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 27% | 17% | 8% | 5% | – | 28% | 15% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | June 9–10, 2021 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 14% | – | 7% | – | 25% | 20% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | March 24–25, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | – | – | – | – | 39% | 21% |
| 36% | – | 14% | – | – | 30% | 20% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Roy Blunt |
John Brunner |
Eric Greitens |
Vicky Hartzler |
Billy Long |
Eric Schmitt |
Jason Smith |
Ann Wagner |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | March 24–25, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | 2% | 31% | 8% | 6% | 18% | 9% | 12% | 14% |
| – | 10% | 38% | – | – | 30% | – | – | 22% | ||||
| – | – | 36% | – | – | 29% | 16% | – | 19% | ||||
| – | – | 38% | – | – | 26% | – | 18% | 18% | ||||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 2] | March 23–25, 2021 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | – | 48% | – | – | 11% | 7% | 9% | 26% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | December 2–3, 2020 | 840 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 25% |
Democratic primary
Declared
- Jewel Kelly, U.S. Air Force veteran, small business owner and real estate agent[37]
- Lucas Kunce, national security director of the American Economic Liberties Project and retired U.S. Marine Corps officer[38]
- Gena Ross, college professor and nominee for Missouri's 6th congressional district in 2020[39][40]
- Tim Shepard, tech executive and LGBT rights activist[41]
- Scott Sifton, state senator (2013–2021) and former state representative (2011–2013)[42]
- Spencer Toder, small business owner, entrepreneur and real estate broker[37]
Democratic candidates[lower-alpha 1]
Publicly expressed interest
- Quinton Lucas, mayor of Kansas City (2019–present)[43]
- Brian Williams, state senator (2019–present)[44]
Potential
- Elad Gross, civil rights attorney, former Assistant Attorney General of Missouri, and candidate for Missouri Attorney General in 2020[41]
- Chris Koster, former Missouri Attorney General (2009–2017), former state senator (2005–2009), and nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2016[1]
Declined
- Cori Bush, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 1st congressional district (2021–present) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[45]
- Nicole Galloway, State Auditor of Missouri (2015–present) and nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2020 (endorsed Sifton)[46][47]
- Jason Kander, former Secretary of State of Missouri (2013–2017), former state representative (2009–2013), nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016, and candidate for mayor of Kansas City in 2019[41]
- Claire McCaskill, former U.S. Senator from Missouri (2007–2019), former State Auditor of Missouri (1999–2007), former Jackson County prosecutor (1993–1998), and former state representative (1983–1988)[41]
- Jay Nixon, former Governor of Missouri (2009–2017), former Missouri Attorney General (1993–2009), former state senator (1987–1993), and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1988 and 1998[48]
- Clint Zweifel, former State Treasurer of Missouri (2009–2017)[44]
Endorsements
Lucas Kunce
- Organizations
Scott Sifton
- Statewide officials
- Nicole Galloway, State Auditor of Missouri (2015–present) and nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2020[47]
- State Senators
- Doug Beck, state senator (2021–present) and former state representative (2017–2021)[51]
- Gina Walsh, former minority leader of the Missouri Senate (2016–2017), former state senator (2013–2021), and former state representative (2003–2011)[47]
Other parties and independents
Declared
- Nicholas Strauss (Independent)[3]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[52] | Solid R | November 9, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[53] | Solid R | October 8, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[54] | Likely R | November 3, 2021 |
Polling
- Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens (R) |
Lucas Kunce (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 2] | October 3–4, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
- Eric Greitens vs. Scott Sifton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens (R) |
Scott Sifton (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 2] | October 3–4, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | April 7–8, 2021 | 936 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | February 17–18, 2021 | 954 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
- Eric Schmitt vs. Scott Sifton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Eric Schmitt (R) |
Scott Sifton (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | April 7–8, 2021 | 936 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Hypothetical polling
- Eric Greitens vs. Jay Nixon
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens (R) |
Jay Nixon (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | July 14–15, 2021 | 922 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | April 7–8, 2021 | 936 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
- Eric Greitens vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence (R)[upper-alpha 3] | November 16–18, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[upper-alpha 2] | October 3–4, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
- Eric Schmitt vs. Jay Nixon
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Eric Schmitt (R) |
Jay Nixon (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | April 7–8, 2021 | 936 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 42% | 8% |
- Roy Blunt vs. Scott Sifton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Roy Blunt (R) |
Scott Sifton (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[upper-alpha 1] | February 17–18, 2021 | 954 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
- Roy Blunt vs. Jason Kander
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Roy Blunt (R) |
Jason Kander (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D)[upper-alpha 4] | January 10–12, 2021 | 571 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 44% | 12% |
Notes
- The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- Non-partisan poll conducted for the local non-partisan tipsheet Missouri Scout
- Poll conducted for Eric Greitens's campaign
- Poll conducted for Team PAC, which supports Greitens
- Poll conducted for MoveOn
References
- Drebes, Dave (November 5, 2020). "Drebes: A look ahead at the race for Missouri's U.S. Senate seat in 2022". St. Louis Business Journal. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
- Ballentine, Summer; Salter, Jim (March 8, 2021). "GOP Sen. Roy Blunt of Missouri won't seek reelection in 2022". Associated Press. Retrieved March 9, 2021.
- "Congressional candidate Dan McQueen visits Saline County". The Marshall Democrat-News. June 16, 2021. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
- "Rik Combs announces candidacy for US Senate". newstribune.com. Retrieved August 5, 2021.
- Held, Kevin S. (March 22, 2021). "Eric Greitens announces Senate bid for Blunt's seat". KTV (FOX 2). Retrieved March 22, 2021.
- https://www.facebook.com/JeremyGundelForSenate
- "GOP Rep. Vicky Hartzler launches Missouri Senate bid". The Hill. June 10, 2021.
- Bowman, Bridget (August 3, 2021). "GOP Rep. Billy Long joins Missouri Senate race". Roll Call. Retrieved August 3, 2021.
- "Mark McCloskey announces candidacy for US Senate". FOX 2. May 18, 2021. Retrieved May 18, 2021.
- Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (November 16, 2021). "Dave Schatz jumps into US Senate race". The Missouri Times. Retrieved November 16, 2021.
- "Eric Schmitt joins Missouri race for U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Roy Blunt • Missouri Independent". Missouri Independent. March 24, 2021. Retrieved March 24, 2021.
- Suntrup, Jack (March 8, 2021). "Sen. Roy Blunt says he won't run next year, potentially clearing way crowded GOP primary". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
- Hancock, Jason (March 8, 2021). "Roy Blunt is out. So who's in? A list of possible Missouri GOP senate candidates • Missouri Independent". Missouri Independent. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
- Becket, Stefan (March 8, 2021). "GOP Senator Roy Blunt won't run for reelection in 2022". CBS News. Retrieved March 8, 2021 – via MSN.
- "Missouri state lawmaker to challenge US Sen. Roy Blunt". AP NEWS. April 20, 2021. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
- Lowry, Bryan (May 3, 2021). "He was mayor of a Texas city for 37 days. Now he wants to be Missouri's next senator". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
- Axelrod, Tal (March 10, 2021). "Ashcroft declines run to replace Blunt in Missouri". The Hill. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
- "Missouri Treasurer Scott Fitzpatrick On 2022 Effort To Expand His Office's Investment Options". St. Louis Public Radio. Retrieved July 15, 2021.
- Huguelet, Austin (March 25, 2021). "Springfield native, former US Attorney Tim Garrison says he won't run for Senate". The Springfield News-Leader. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
- Rogger, John (June 13, 2021). "Representative Luetkemeyer Will Not Run For Open Senate Seat". KRMS. Retrieved June 15, 2021.
- Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (March 22, 2021). "Kehoe announces 2024 gubernatorial run, forgoing US Senate bid". The Missouri Times. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
- "Missouri Lt. Gov. Mike Kehoe won't pursue Senate but will run for governor in 2024".
- Long, Jeff (March 10, 2021). "After Roy Blunt: Local politicians react to senator's retirement". The Southeast Missourian. Retrieved March 23, 2021.
- Erickson, Kurt (March 11, 2021). "Gov. Parson won't seek Blunt's seat in U.S. Senate". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
- Gerber, Cameron (April 26, 2021). "Wagner on possible US Senate run: 'We're taking a look at it'". The Missouri Times. Retrieved May 12, 2021.
- Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (August 3, 2021). "Ann Wagner running for re-election to Missouri's 2nd congressional district". The Missouri Times. Retrieved August 3, 2021.
- Cameron Gerber (September 16, 2021). "Greitens endorsed by Michael Flynn". TheMissouriTimes.
- Tyler Olson (March 29, 2021). "Ex-Missouri Gov. Eric Greitens back in arena as pro-Trump Senate candidate, aims to replace retiring Blunt". FoxNews.
- Grace Segers (March 24, 2021). "2 staunch Trump allies launch Senate bids in Missouri and Alabama". CBS.
- Lowry, Bryan; Kuang, Jeanne (April 26, 2021). "Mar-a-Lago primary: Missouri Republicans seek Trump's favor with open Senate seat". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved June 12, 2021.
- Gabby Orr; Alex Rodgers. "Kimberly Guilfoyle joins Eric Greitens' US Senate campaign in Missouri". CNN.
- "Hartzler snags Michele Bachmann endorsement". September 23, 2021.
- SCHALLHORN, KAITLYN (September 1, 2021). "Hartzler endorsed by Penny Nance of Concerned Women for America". The Missouri Times. Retrieved September 3, 2021.
- Steinhauser, Paul (July 21, 2021). "Conservative PAC supporting female candidates endorses Hartzler in Missouri Senate GOP primary". Fox News. Retrieved July 29, 2021.
- Cameron Gerber (October 25, 2021). "Schmitt nabs endorsement from former acting US attorney general". TheMissouriTimes.
- Gerber, Cameron (December 2, 2021). "Schmitt nabs Dana Loesch endorsement". The Missouri Times. Archived from the original on December 3, 2021. Retrieved December 3, 2021.
- Suntrup, Jack (May 4, 2021). "St Louis startup owner and real estate broker joins list of Democrats running for US Senate". St. Louis Post Dispatch. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
- Robillard, Kevin (March 9, 2021). "Marine Veteran Launches Missouri Senate Bid After Roy Blunt Retirement". HuffPost. Retrieved March 9, 2021.
- Sharkey, Dennis (June 30, 2021). "Platte City resident files for U.S. Senate seat". The Platte County Citizen. Archived from the original on July 8, 2021. Retrieved July 8, 2021.
- Newton, Ken (July 18, 2020). "Candidates line up to try to unseat congressman". News-Press Now. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
- Hancock, Jason (March 11, 2021). "Jay Nixon comeback? Democrats lining up for shot at open Missouri Senate seat". Missouri Independent. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- Ballentine, Summer (February 8, 2021). "Missouri state lawmaker to challenge US Sen. Roy Blunt". Associated Press. Retrieved February 10, 2021.
- Wilson, Reid (May 12, 2021). "Kansas City's Democratic mayor eyes Senate run". The Hill. Retrieved May 12, 2021.
- "Missouri Democrats see a winnable Senate seat but no obvious front-runner". NBC News. Retrieved May 6, 2021.
- Fandos, Nicholas (March 8, 2021). "Roy Blunt of Missouri, No. 4 Senate Republican, Plans to Retire". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
- "Auditor Galloway, Missouri's Lone Democratic Statewide Officeholder, Won't Seek Reelection In 2022". St. Louis Public Radio. June 4, 2021. Retrieved June 4, 2021.
- "Former Missouri Sen. Scott Sifton announces campaign for U.S. Senate". KMOV. February 8, 2021. Retrieved February 11, 2021.
- Suntrup, Jack. "Former Missouri Gov. Jay Nixon says he isn't running for U.S. Senate next year". STLtoday.com. Retrieved July 29, 2021.
- Axelrod, Tal (March 9, 2021). "Democratic Marine veteran jumps into Missouri Senate race after Blunt retirement". TheHill. Retrieved March 10, 2021.
- Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (September 7, 2021). "VoteVets backs Lucas Kunce in Missouri Senate race". TheMissouriTimes. Retrieved September 11, 2021.
- Jack Suntrup (February 8, 2021). "South County Democrat Scott Sifton launches bid for U.S. Senate in 2022". STL Today.
- "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved December 1, 2021.
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Rik Combs (R) for Senate Archived March 12, 2021, at the Wayback Machine
- Eric Greitens (R) for Senate
- Vicky Hartzler (R) for Senate
- Jewel Kelly (D) for Senate
- Lucas Kunce (D) for Senate
- Billy Long (R) for Senate
- Mark McCloskey (R) for Senate
- Deshon Porter (R) for Senate
- Gena Ross (D) for Senate
- Dave Schatz (R) for Senate
- Eric S. Schmitt (R) for Senate
- Tim Shepard (D) for Senate
- Scott Sifton (D) for Senate
- Nicholas Strauss (I) for Senate
- Spencer Toder (D) for Senate
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